Let's assume that average girl gets hit by one guy per two days, who wants to get into her pants. Per year that's 365/2 of guys or 183 guys. This is very conservative estimation as normal looking girls can get hit by multiple guys a day, while the attractive ones a multiple fold of that, so in reality number is even higher. Women tend to get most sexually active between 15th and 30th year, which equals a 15-year time window. In this time they get hit by 15 years * 183 guys = 2745 guys, assuming an average woman. Let's also assume that in this time they casual bang 5 guys.
At this point we can calculate the statistical probability of normal guy getting a casual lay with normal woman: number of selected partners divided by total number of guys in observed time frame of 15 years:
5 guys / 2745 guys = 1 in 549
or 0,0018 %
or 1,8 promile.
Here we assumed that all guys have equal chances. But do they? Since women are hypergamous creatures, which means they are only attracted to guys who look better than them, and since most of guys look like crap while most of women look OK, the whole distribution and consequentially the chances of average guy get heavily skewed. This means that the probability calculated above is for most of guys is at least 10x worse, while for minority of guys, who don't look like crap, is at least 10x higher.So here it is, the probability of getting laid for a normal dude:
1 in 5490
or 0,00018 %
or 0,18 promile.
But honestly, this complies with reality, where 30% of guys stay virgin for life, 40% experience sex only trough relationship (paid sex is ignored), while 25% experience casual sex with either fat/ugly/defected woman and the last 5% is fucking a new girl every weekend.
And a woman?
She only has to knock on first doors she can approach, and ask for sex. She'll get it. In reality, 8 out of 10 guys would accept the offer, so here is the probability for normal woman getting casual sex:
8 in 10
or 80%
Here is the final equation:
Probability of average looking guy getting casual sex VS probability of average looking woman getting casual sex EQUALS TO:
0,00018 % VS 80%
...also tells why when guy scores he's a stud and when woman scores, or better said, gets scored, she's s slut.
Mathematics is your best friend.
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